The set-up: The Bills come in off a 26-17 loss to Kansas City, a Chiefs team which was coming off its second loss of the year in a poor effort at home to the Raiders. Now they face a Jets team desperate to get off the schneid at home and which welcomes back starting QB Sam Darnold.

The pick: Buffalo has a game at home vs. division rival New England next week, followed by a visit from league-leading Seattle. Can anyone say "look-ahead spot?!" The numbers on paper favor Buffalo, but the overall situation definitely favors the hungry Jets. New York isn't going to go 0-16 SU/ATS this season and this is its best chance yet for a straight-up victory. That said, let's grab the points!

This is an 8* play on the New York Jets.