The Detroit Tigers have won just one of their last seven games and have dropped to last place in the AL Central. The Toronto Blue Jays on the other hand are sitting top of their division and have won six of their last seven. They defeated the Tigers 5-3 in the opener of a three-game series last night and another win for the surging Jays are in the cards this afternoon.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Tigers hand the ball to Buck Farmer (0-2, 7.80 ERA) , a 24 year old right-hander who has made just four starts on the season. He conceded three runs on three hits and three walks in 5 1/3 innings of a 12-5 loss not factoring in the decision his last start. This will be his first career meeting with the Jays and their mighty offense, and it must be hard for an inexperienced pitcher to know exact what you'll be up against when facing a deep line-up like this. The Jays will counter with Drew Hutchinson (12-2, 5.06) who held the Yankees to one run on three hits in 6 2/3 frames of a 3-1 win his last start. The Jays are undefeated in his last six starts overall and he's a dominant 10-1 behind a 2.57 ERA in 13 starts at Rogers Centre this season. He's an undefeated 5-0 in nine starts during the day.

2. Situational - The Tigers have lost 60 of their last 72 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater and they've covered the run-line in just one over their last six losses overall. The Jays are a dominant 22-5 in their last 27 overall and have won 14 of Hutchison's last 17 starts as a home favorite.

3. X-Factor - Toronto has scored an average of 10 runs over its last six games.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (10*)