The defending champions are up 2-1 in their second round series versus Portland, but the Blazers have a chance to draw even with a big home win in Game 4. The public money is all over the Warriors here, but I believe the best bet is on the total. We've seen plenty of scoring so far in this series, and I expect a high scoring first half tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Blazers scored 120 points on 46.5 percent shooting in Game 3, and they were red hot from three-point range. Portland made 17 three-pointers, hitting 56.7 percent from beyond the arc. Damian Lillard scored a whopping 40 points on 14-of-27 shooting.

2. Home Cookin' - These teams have gone over in four straight meetings at the Moda Center, and eight of the last nine overall. The over is 9-4 in Portland's last 13 home games, and the Warriors have gone over in eight of their last nine versus a team with a winning record.

3, X-Factor - With Steph Curry on the bench, Klay Thompson has elevated his game. The "other" Splash Brother scored 35 points on 14-of-28 shooting in Game 3.

Selection: This is a10* play on the Warriors@Blazers to go OVER the total (1st Half)