Rickenbach MLB Saturday 8* OVER 8.5 runs in Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - The Phillies Vincent Velasquez is one of those guys that sometimes can pitch extremely well but other times struggles with command and location of his pitches and he pays for it. Considering he's facing one of the top hitting teams in the majors today I look for him to struggle again in this outing. Velasquez has a 5.47 ERA on the season and in his three home starts this season he has gone 1-2 with a 7.05 ERA. He has a 6.30 ERA against the Nationals in his career and the Nats saw him earliers this season so that favors the hitters here as they get a quick second look. The Phillies should enjoy success at the plate after being held to just 2 runs yesterday against Stephen Strasburg. They go from facing an ace to facing a pitcher called up from the minors. The Nats will have A.J. Cole on the mound and the right-hander was struggling in the minors this season. Also, he has struggled at the MLB level so far in his career with a 5.29 ERA in 11 appearances (9 starts). Even with yesterday's under, Washington is 10-4 to the over in night games this season and the Phillies are 12-6 to the over this season in their games against teams with a winning record. 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia