These two teams combined for 156 points in their first meeting, and I expect them to at least reach that same mark again. UConn is averging 14.9 made free throws per game but only made four in the first meeting against Xavier. UConn also only scored two points in the last four minutes of their first matchup against the Musketeers.

Xavier is averaging 7.3 made threes per game but only hit four in the first matchup.
Xavier has been a great over team (o/u 14-5-1) and is in the top 8 in ppg, field goal, three-point field goal percentage, adjusted offensive efficiency, and 14th in adjusted tempo. UConn is 10th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 34th in the nation in scoring and has played to the over in its last four games when coming off a win.
2% College BB play on the over