You may not like this one, but a pick with this opportunity for plus money will usually look a little ugly.
The Reds are on a seven-game losing streak, but the last six losses came against the Dodgers and Brewers, and now they are facing a Giants team that is coming off a stretch of seven straight road games, and the Giants are 7-19 in their last 26 home games following a road trip of seven or more days.
The Reds are 5-1 when Graham Ashcraft has started, and he tossed 6 1/3 shutout innings against the Giants in a 5-1 Cincinnati win over the Giants on May 27.
I don't trust the Giants at -200, behind Alex Cobb who has a 7.17 ERA in four-night games this season. The pick is on Cincinnati.