This total opened up at 229.5, and now that it has dropped to 224.5, I see a lot of value here. The over has cashed in the last four head-to-head meetings and there have been at least 225 combined points scored in five of the last six meetings, including at least 232 scored in each of the last four. Los Angeles has also played to the over in 20 of their last 28 road games last season. A fresh Warriors team usually puts up the points as well, with the over going 5-1 in their last six games after having three or more days of rest.

Expect Lebron to put on a show and for AD to be motivated to put up big numbers as well. And the Warriors will put on an even bigger show offensively. I am taking the over at 224.5  and would be willing to play up to  228.