Cleveland has the third best road record in MLB, and has the most road wins amongst teams with a road underdog winning percentage above 60%. The Blue Jays are just 2-8 in their last 10 games against left-handed starters.
Excluding his May 29 appearance at Coors Field, Guardians starter Logan Allen has a 1.92 ERA in his last four starts.

With the strong bullpen advantage for Cleveland, I am backing them here.

2.5% on Cleveland