I think the Iowa Hawkeyes are spotted way too many points to pass up on when they visit the Penn State Nittany Lions Saturday afternoon.

Penn State had lost back-to-back games outright before finally getting back in the win column with a 33-28 win at Indiana last week. They still failed to cover the 14-point spread though and were actually outgained by 137 yards.

Here the Nittany Lions will face an Iowa team with a ton of momentum as it's going for a third straight win. The Hawkeyes D has been excellent all season and held Maryland to 47 passing yards along with 68 rushing yards in a 23-0 triumph last week. Penn State can run the ball, but it won't be enough here against a rush defense that is giving up an average of only 2.7 yards/rush attempt. I'm well happy to take the points on the underdog in this matchup.

Trends supporting Iowa: Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

8* play on Iowa Hawkeyes.