The under is 18-5 in games involving the Cincinnati Reds here in 2019 following a 3-1 loss to the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday. We cashed in BIG with the under as our MLB Total of the Week on that contest, and I expect another low-scoring affair here in the finale of this three-game series.

Cincinnati right-hander Luis Castillo (2-1, 1.47 ERA) has been on fire through the first couple of weeks this season. His 1.27 ERA is best among all starters across the major leagues and he has not given up more than two runs in any of his five starts.

The Braves turn to right-hander Julio Teheran (2-2, 5.61 ERA) who's not been quite as sharp, but he's shown some good stuff and has recorded 29 Ks through 25 2/3 innings of work. Teheran has alternated good and bad starts, and I like him to bounce back with a solid performance after surrendering five runs at Cleveland last time out.

Under is 11-3 in Braves last 14 when their opponent scores two runs or fewer in their previous game and 9-1 in Castillo's last 10 starts overall.

8* play on UNDER.