Not only are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a letdown spot following a huge 55-40 road win at LA Rams, but they're also on the road for a second straight week. Extremely tough spot for any team and I like the New Orleans Saints to get the job done in back-to-back home games.

The Saints have played reasonably well since losing star QB Drew Brees to a thumb injury and most recently defeated Dallas 12-10 on Monday night football. With the offense lacking, the Saints relied on their defense to beat the previously undefeated Cowboys and that same formula should work again in this game.

I would simply not count on Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston to throw for four touchdown passes in back-to-back games. Note his 9/5 TD/INT ratio on the season and keep in mind that the Bucs were outgained 518-464 offensive yards against the Rams who won the first down battle 36-27.

Tampa Bay managed to take full advantage of four Rams turnovers (three Goff interceptions), but their secondary gave up over 500 yards passing to Jared Goff and Saints backup QB Teddy Bridgewater is, even if not spectacular, at the very least serviceable.

Additionally, we can note that the Saints are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games in October.

10* play on New Orleans Saints.