The New England Patriots lead the NFL in most defensive categories and have allowed an average of just 243 yards and 6.8 ppg. Three of their first four games of the season have gone under the total, the exception a 30-14 win over the Jets that went over the total by a single point.

Here the Patriots will face a Washington Redskins team that was held to a field goal and fewer than 180 yards of total offense in a loss to the New York Giants last week.

This all boils down to how many points Bill Belichick and Tom Brady feel the need to put on the board, and my assumption is that they'll be happy with a pedestrian win and keep everyone healthy. The Pats might reach 30 points, but I highly doubt Washington will put up more than 10.

Under is 8-0 in Patriots last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

8* play on UNDER.