8* San Diego (4:10 ET): The Padres were unable to rally Saturday, falling just short against the D’backs by a score of 3-2. They’d previously won the series opener, 3-0, in a game where we backed them. I’ll back ‘em again here Sunday for many of the same reasons I did Friday. Arizona is not a good team; in fact they have the 2nd worst run differential in the entire National League right now at -25. Outside of one big explosion vs. Houston earlier in the week, the D’backs haven’t scored more than five runs in a game this year.

Madison Bumgarner looks to be toast, compounding problems for the visitors. He’s got an 0-3 TSR and 7.05 ERA through three starts, one of those being a loss to San Diego. Going back to late last year, Bumgarner has an 0-7 TSR his L7 starts. Adding to the concern here is that Bumgarner’s velocity is down (on his fastball) as is his KW ratio (only 1.83).

San Diego, who is 5-0 in series openers thus far and just 3-7 in all other games, will turn to Dinelson Lamet on Sunday. Lament has already faced the D’backs once and he held them to one run in five innings, a game the Padres ended up winning 12-7. Lamet has a 1.72 ERA across three starts and we should see him pitch well again Sunday. Lamet has allowed just four runs total so far, one of them unearned. 8* San Diego