Point Spread: -7.50 | -110.00 LA Clippers (Home)
The Nuggets are now 5-0 SU/ATS when facing elimination this postseason. They are trying to become the first team in the history of the NBA Playoffs to come back from two 3-1 series deficits in the same postseason as that’s what they did vs. Utah in the last round. Keep in mind that I felt this was a lucky team BEFORE the playoffs got underway as they had a league-high 9 wins by 3 pts or less during the regular season. With all the come from behind wins, I believe Denver is living on borrowed time. While perfect SU/ATS when TRAILING in a playoff series, they are just 4-12 ATS when TIED in a playoff series the L3 years.
The Clippers are 14-5 ATS off an outright loss as a favorite this season as well as 8-1 ATS off a loss by 10 or more. The large shooting discrepancy from Game 6 (Clippers shot just 41% as a team) won’t exist again tonight. While the franchise is now 0-7 SU in games when they have a chance to make the Conference Finals, this is the night that streak FINALLY comes to an end. Consider that Denver was outscored by 48 points in its first four games vs. Utah. It truly is a miracle that they are even still playing. Expect LA to get another big lead, only this time they’ll hold it. 10* LA Clippers