(MLB) Kansas City vs. Cleveland, 04/05/2021 4:10 PM, Score: 3 - 0
Total: 9.00 | 100.00 Over
Result: Loss
10* Over Royals/Indians (4:10 ET): This is the home opener for the team with the lowest payroll in MLB, Cleveland. The Indians began the 2021 season by losing the first two games at Detroit. They picked up their first win Sunday, 9-3. Kansas City’s first series was just the opposite. They took the first two games before losing yday. All three games with Texas went Over. The Royals scored 28 runs in three games, but also gave up 21. I see today’s game continuing the streak of Overs.

The Indians are likely to struggle to score runs in 2021. But they busted loose for nine yday. Most of them (eight) came over the final four innings. Today they’ll face Danny Duffy, a southpaw that they’ve seen many times before. Duffy posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.303 WHIP in 11 starts last season. Only one of the 11 was a quality start as he rarely pitched a full six innings. Ironically, he pitched well against Cleveland twice. But the Over is 3-0-1 the last four times Duffy has started a series opener. The Over is also 5-0 L5 times he’s faced a team with a losing record.

Starting here for Cleveland will be Logan Allen, who had an excellent Spring and is down 35 lbs. This is his first regular season start in over a year and half. It’s a tough matchup for him, facing a lineup that scored 25 runs in its first two games of the season. The Royals did strikeout 14 times Sunday and fell behind by 4+ for the third consecutive game. I think that will lead to them being MUCH more aggressive at the plate in this game, at least early on. 10* Over Royals/Indians