Point Spread: 1.50 | -150.00 San Francisco (Away)
San Diego is a much hyped team coming into this season. In the first series, they took three of four from Arizona. But they did lose yday, 4-1, thus denying them a sweep. Because of the hype, the Padres are going to see high money lines “like never before” (at least for them) and there are going to be times when there’s some significant value in fading them. This is one of those times as they start the unproven Adrian Morejon, who is only in the starting rotation right now due to an injury to Dinelson Lamet. In nine appearances (four starts) last year, Morejon had a 4.66 ERA and 1.241 WHIP.
I can’t say that Giants’ starter Anthony DeSclafani is going to be in the NL Cy Young mix this season as he’s coming off a fairly wretched 2020 campaign. However, with an improved change-up, he did look good in the Spring where his ERA was a solid 2.79. A bit of an edge for SF here is that they had Sunday off. They went 2-8 against the Padres last season, but four of those games were decided by one run. I’ll take that either way here. 8* San Francisco (+1.5)