(NCAAF) Memphis vs. Tulsa, 10/09/2021 9:00 PM, Score: 29 - 35
Point Spread: 3.50 | -110.00 Memphis (Away)
Result: Loss
8* Memphis (9:00 ET): After pulling out a somewhat miraculous 31-29 win at Mississippi State three weeks ago, the worm has really turned against Memphis. They’ve lost two straight, blowing 17+ point leads in both games. I can’t decide which “choke job” was more shocking. Was it the one at home against UTSA where they up 21-0 after one quarter and never trailed until the final play? Or was it last week where they were 11-point favorites over a bad Temple team? Regardless what the correct answer is, I see the Tigers bouncing back this week against a Tulsa team that should NOT be laying points.

Tulsa is 1-4 SU and just got handed its lunch by Houston last Thursday. It was 28-0 early in the 2Q and ended up being a 45-10 final. I can understand the Golden Hurricane getting a little respect here as they did cover at both Oklahoma State and Ohio State. But they also lost outright at home to FCS Cal Davis in the season opener. They did not play Memphis in 2020, but have lost the last three head to head matchups (2017-19) by an average of 18 PPG. Again, I just don’t see how they’re favored here.

Last year snapped Memphis’ three-year streak of AAC Championship Game appearances. The loss to UTSA ended a 17-game win streak at the Liberty Bowl. But they are still a stronger team than Tulsa. They’ve led for 104 of the 120 minutes the L2 games, yet somehow managed to go 0-2. I think this is a “get right” game. They’ve scored 31 or more points in all five games and could easily be 5-0. Tulsa has topped 23 points in only one game thus far and that just won’t cut it here. 8* Memphis