(NCAAB) Monmouth vs. Cincinnati, 11/27/2021 2:00 PM, Score: 61 - 59
Point Spread: -10.50 | -118.00 Cincinnati (Home)
Result: Loss
8* Cincinnati (2:00 ET): Cincinnati returns home after playing two tough opponents in the Hall of Fame Classic at Kansas City. One of the games went well as the Bearcats upset #14 Illinois, rallying back from a 15-point deficit to win by 20 (as 9.5-point underdogs). But the next day saw them “run out of gas” in a 73-67 loss (as 5-point underdogs) to #13 Arkansas. The Bearcats are hosting Monmouth on Saturday, an opponent they should blowout. Cincy has won its first four home games by an average of 21 points.

Monmouth is 5-0 ATS with its only SU loss coming by two in the opener against Charlotte. Since that opening loss, the Hawks have beaten Towson, Lehigh, St. Joe’s and Princeton. So this will be a big step up in class and the first of six consecutive road games over the next 2+ weeks. The Hawks should be no stranger to the road at this point; three of their first five games were played away from home. But this one will be - by far - the toughest. Monmouth lost roughly half of its offensive production from last season.

I know that there’s the risk of this being a “flat spot” for the favorite, who is coming off B2B games against Top 15 opponents. But being off a loss, their first of the 2021-22 season, should have Cincinnati properly motivated in this one. The Bearcats are playing outstanding defense thus far, holding teams to just 33.9% shooting overall and 24% from three-point range. Monmouth isn’t going to cover every game and this feels like the spot where their ATS win streak comes to crashing halt. 8* Cincinnati