Money Line: -110.00 Miami (Away)
Yesterday was not only Miami’s worst loss since April 16th, but also the first time they lost a game by more than one run going back to May 1st. Their previous four losses to the D’backs had all been by one run as had their previous six losses overall. The Marlins even opened the scoring last night, getting two runs in the top of the first on a Jose Soler home run. But they wouldn’t score again until the ninth and by that point, it was “all over but the shouting.” Starter Jesus Luzardo was not good yday, but I am expecting a better outing from today’s starter, Sandy Alcantara, who has allowed 2 ER or less in five of his six starts thus far.
Arizona had the worst record in the National League last season, but has gotten shockingly great pitching the last two weeks or so. Three starters have ERAs below 2.00 and one of them - Merrill Kelly - goes this afternoon. Like Alcantara, Kelly did NOT pitch in the previous series between these teams. Kelly came one out shy of a complete game his last time out (vs. Colorado) where he gave up just one run. But I simply think he and his team are “due” to drop one today. As a team, the D’backs are hitting just .185 at home this year! 10* Miami