I'm playing on Atlanta/Jacksonville OVER the total. These teams have both been seeing their recent games finish below the total. The Jaguars have seen five straight (and eight of nine) games fall below the total. The Falcons have seen three of their past four do so. However, a look at Atlanta's four opponents shows that they're all teams with playoff aspirations, the Patriots, Cowboys, Saints and Panthers. Now, they finally get to face a non-playoff team. That should absolutely help to get the offense going. The Jags 26.2 ppg allowed ranks just 26th in the league. The Jags are thinking the same thing though, as the Falcons' defense is even worse. At 28.8 ppg allowed, Atlanta ranks 31st (2nd worst) in the league. True, the Falcons managed only 165 total yards (120 passing, 45 rushing) last week. That suited me just fine. Again, the Jags aren't the Patriots. Look for a big bounce back performance on offense and the OVER to improve to 9-1-1 the last 11 times that Atlanta had managed less than 150 passing yards in its previous game.