(NCAAF) BYU vs. USC, 11/27/2021 10:30 PM, Score: 35 - 31
Point Spread: 7.00 | -101.00 USC (Home)
Result: Win
I'm playing on USC. Admittedly, the Trojans haven't looked too good recently. Now, they face a tough BYU team. Naturally, I respect the Cougars. They've been solid all season and they came through for me in a big way in a recent win over Virginia. Still, unlike USC, they've clinched their bowl berth. The Trojans need this win, not only to salvage some pride but also to keep their bowl hopes alive. That would get them to five wins with a game against Cal on deck. While it may seem unlikely, I'm not writing them off from winning both those games. The Trojans are still loaded with talent, as per usual. Since that home win over Virginia, the Cougars have hosted Idaho State and played at Georgia State. Those teams don't have the type of talent USC does. Prior to Georgia State, the Cougars previous road game came at Washington State and they lost. The week before that, they played on the road, at Baylor. They lost. Their three road wins came at Utah State, Georgia State and Arizona. None of those teams were strong and the Cougars were 1-2 ATS in the wins. The point that I'm trying to make is that BYU hasn't played many tough road games and it has lost when on the road against decent teams. They're 4-8 ATS their last 12 as road favorites. Now, they're being asked to go on the road and lay a lot of points against a talented, desperate opponent. I believe that's asking too much and I'm grabbing the points.