EAST. CONF 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR!
(NBA) Miami vs. Boston, 05/21/2022 8:30 PM, Score: 109 - 103
Total: 207.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
I'm playing on Miami/Boston UNDER the total. As you are likely aware, the first two games were both "blowouts." Miami won big in Game 1 and Boston returned the favor in Game 2. Both games were played at Miami and both finished well above the total. That, of course, has the series tied and shifting to Boston. I expect the change of venue and the fact that the series is now tied to lead to a much lower-scoring affair. Yet, the results from the first two games have rewarded us with the highest O/U number of the series. Value. The Celtics couldn't miss last game. They hit 51% of their field goals, 50% of their 3-point shots and 91% of their free throws. That's not likely to happen again. The last time that these teams met here, the Celtics scored 98 points and hit 29.7% of their 3-point shots. On the season, the Celtics have scored fewer points per game at home (than on the road) and they've also allowed less. When the Celtics were tied 1-1 with Milwaukee, the next game finished below the total, a 103-101 final. The Heat weren't tied 1-1 with either the Hawks or the 76'ers but they were tied 2-2 in the Philly series. The next game finished below the total; Miami bounced back from a bad loss and allowed only 85 points. Including that result, the UNDER is 4-1 the past five times that Miami was tied in a series. Remember, these are still two of stingier teams in the NBA. Nothing comes easily in this one and the final combined score stays below the number.