NBA Friday Nuggets vs Heat Winner
(NBA) Miami vs. Denver, 11/03/2017 5:00 PM, Score: 94 - 95
Point Spread: 5.00 | -105.00 Miami (Away)
Result: Win
MIT Simulator - NBA Friday Nuggets vs Heat Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Miami 108.12, Denver 106.96 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.16 - Current Line: +5 - Variance to Line: 6.16 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 6.16 points. Value is a half-dozen points! Key factors noted: The road team has covered 4 straight meetings. The Heat are still win-less ATS this season but are off of a straight-up win over Chicago which boosts their confidence heading into this road trip. Nuggets are in a big look-ahead spot as Denver hosts Golden State tomorrow! The Nuggets are off of a win and cover but they've yet to cover back to back games this season. Denver is on an 8-15 ATS run versus Southeast Division opponents including 0-3 ATS this season. Projected box-score shows Heat with rebounding edge as Nuggets have been out-rebounded by big margins in 2 of last 3 games. Projection also shows shooting edge for Miami here as the Nuggets defense has allowed 50% field goal percentage last two games while Heat have allowed only 42% field goal percentage last three games. Net edge factors for Miami equating to upset victory by 1.16 points per MIT Simulator. Play: HEAT