MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Philadelphia vs Denver Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Eagles 21.23, Broncos 20.86 - Projected Margin of Victory: 0.37 - Current Line: 8 - Variance to Line: 7.63 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.63 points. Value in excess of a touchdown! Projected box-score shows Philadelphia rushing edge of 27.63 yards in excess of Denver rushing total. However, the box-score also reflects Broncos passing edge of 37.68 yards in excess of Eagles passing yardage total. Key factors noted: Denver has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Broncos allow only 261 yards per game. Denver offense has struggled badly in recent weeks but the Eagles, prior to facing the win-less 49ers, had allowed 23 points or more in 5 of 6 prior games. Broncos have hurt themselves with turnovers and will be a different team with Brock Osweiler under center this week. Denver needed a change and Osweiler wants to make the most of another opportunity with the Broncos. Denver is on a 10-5 ATS run as an underdog. Eagles have bye week on deck and could be looking ahead to that as well as the big game with the Cowboys which follows it. Philadelphia is on a 2-6 SU/ATS run in November games. MIT Simulator composite forecast equating to a very tight game with Eagles by 0.37 points. Play: DENVER