NFL - The Saints are without QB Brees so this line has really moved down and, per the simulation report, it has moved too far. The Falcons have been much better under their interim head coach but there are couple of keys to keep in mind about this one. New Orleans is 6-3 ATS in L9 divisional games and also has gone 3-1 both SU and ATS in its last 4 meetings with Atlanta. Also, the Falcons 3 wins since the coaching change have come against teams with a combined record of 9-18. Now Atlanta is on the road taking on a Saints team which has won 6 straight games. Considering that, as well as the very short number in this game, it comes as no surprise that the simulation report is reflecting high probability for a home win and cover in this one. Play NEW ORLEANS