MLB - Pirates won this match-up 7-0 yesterday but had lost 4 straight games by average score of 8.5 to 1.0 and now Pittsburgh must face a much stronger pitcher tonight. Aaron Nola gets the start and is off dominating effort versus the Braves. In last 3 starts against the Pirates, Nola has a 1.29 ERA. Pittsburgh is 4-14 in JT Brubaker's starts this season and 0-3 in his last 3 as Brubaker has an 8.52 ERA during this rough stretch. Per the above as well as the simulation report, strong bounce back for the road team has high probability here. This makes it worth the money line price, early line in the -150 to -160 range, per the simulator. Play PHILADELPHIA