MLB - Rockies RUN LINE is the play here. Colorado is 5-5 last 10 games after beating San Diego again yesterday. While 5-5 is not so impressive, 8-2 certainly is and only 2 of those 5 Rockies losses have been by more than a single run. So if you played Colorado at +1.5 runs last 10 games you would have an 8-2 record. The Padres have lost 7 of 12 games. Also, San Diego had 2 of those 5 wins by just a 1-run margin. That means playing SDG at -1.5 runs would have yielded a 3-9 record. The Padres start Chris Paddack in this one (5.80 ERA at home this season). The Rockies start Austin Gomber (0.47 ERA in 3 starts versus SDG this season) and he enters off back to back wins with quality starts. The simulation report shows moderate probability of an upset win here with high probability of at least a run line cover in this one. Play COLORADO +1.5 -135