Take San Diego Padres -135 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
(MLB) LA Dodgers vs. San Diego,
Money Line: -135.00 San Diego (Home)
Result: Loss
Tony Gonsolin has a 4.11 ERA, but his advanced stats are pretty bad with a 4.88 xERA, 4.87 FIP, 5.15 xFIP, and 4.97 SIERA. He also ranks at the bottom of MLB in Average Exit Velocity, Hard Hit %, xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, Barrel %, K%, BB%, Whiff %, and Fastball Velocity. Lugo hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in 3 straight starts, and ranks significantly better when it comes to advanced stats than Gonsolin. For example, Lugo has a 3.75 FIP, 3.52 xFIP, and 3.74 SIERA. The Padres are 6 games out of the Wild Card so now is the time to make a move if they are going to make one. Let's roll with San Diego.