We love Iowa State in this spot. The Cyclones have a ton of confidence after hammering BYU last weekend, extending their hot streak to wins in four of their last five games. The defensive side of the football has been huge for Iowa State as they have given up less than 19 points in all four of their wins, and only gave up 28 to Kansas in their lone loss since the start of October. The Longhorns have had a different trend since the calendar turned from September to October. Yes, Texas is 4-1 straight up, but they have only won one game by more than seven points (a 35-6 win over BYU, who stinks). The Longhorns are playing in close games and that is exactly what we, and Iowa State want. The Cyclones are fantastic home dogs as they have covered six straight games in this spot, and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games as a home dog. Take Iowa State in this matchup as they get Texas on back-to-back road games where they are just 2-5 ATS in the second leg of a consecutive road game swing.