We would not be shocked to see Florida when this game outright. Florida is coming off a 2-point loss against a very good Missouri team despite being 12-point underdogs in that game and I do expect them to step up defensively at home here Saturday. Florida has allowed just 16.6 points per game at home this season and 306 yards per game and they have also averaged 34.8 points per game and 438 yards per game at home this season. Florida also comes into this game hungry having dropped 4 straight games and this is a Florida State team that has allowed 20 points per game on the road this season and 377 yards per game. Florida will have success on the ground against this Florida State defense.