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(MLB) Arizona vs. San Francisco, 07/11/2022 9:45 PM, Score: 4 - 3
Total: 7.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
T.M. Selection: Diamondbacks/Giants UNDER.

I am on the under in the Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants game on Monday. The Diamondbacks have been involved in a lot of high scoring affairs lately but they just had a low scoring 3-2 loss in their most recent game and I think this game is going to follow suit with that game. They haven't looked good lately, losing 4/5 of their previous 5 games and they were just in a series last week against the Giants in their own ballpark where all 3 games had 8+ runs in them. The Giants just played a game where they put up 12 runs but they had been involved in some lower scoring games just before that and I don't think their offense is going to keep that performance up since they have shown that they can't and normally follow up those big offensive games with a very weak offensive game in their next. I think this is going to be low scoring with these 2 pitchers though. Merrill Kelly (7-5, 3.42 ERA) is up for the Diamondbacks here and he has been great all year, being one of the most consistent pitchers the Diamondbacks have this year. His most recent start was also against the Giants last week but he pitched great in that game, only giving up 2 runs and leaving the game with a lead that the bullpen ended up blowing for him. He still pitched 6+ innings in that game and considering what happened last time, I expect him to strive to be better here and last longer in this game with less runs given up. He has had many performances like that all year where he goes 7+ innings without giving up more than 2 runs and I expect him to do that here too. Alex Cobb (3-3, 4.74 ERA) is up for the Giants here and he has also been good all year, but has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He had 4 great starts in a row before giving up 4 runs against the Diamondbacks in his most recent start but I expect him to come with a better game plan and I can see this turning into a bit of a pitcher's duel with how bad these 2 offenses have been this year. I like the under in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Giants.