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(MLB) Atlanta vs. Washington, 07/16/2022 4:05 PM, Score: 6 - 3
Point Spread: -1.50 | -137.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Win
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves -1.5.

I like the Atlanta Braves runline in this game against the Washington Nationals on Saturday. The Braves have looked really good in their games lately, they hit a bit of a snag in their series against the Mets but they have still been winning a ton of games and their offense is really hot. They have won 2 games in a row now putting up 13 runs total in those 2 games and I expect them to continue that big offensive effort here against the worst team in their division. The Braves just won over the Nats yesterday with an 8-4 win and I expect them to repeat that here since the Nats have been terrible all year. They have more than double the number of losses as they do wins and they have lost 8 games in a row now, a majority of those losses by 2+ runs. The Braves swept them just last week and now the Nats are facing the best starter that this team has to offer. Max Fried (9-3, 2.56 ERA) is up for the Braves here and he has been great all year. He has been great all year and has had 5 starts in a row now where he gave up 2 runs or less in the game. The Nats have a terrible offense that is 1 of the worst in the league, I expect Fried to shut down their lineup here. This is also a big series for the Braves since they just lost 2/3 to the division leading Mets, and sweeping the worst team in their division here would help cut down on that 2 game lead the Mets have, so the Braves will be very motivated to sweep the Nats again here and close out their series really hot going into the All Star break. Paolo Espino (0-2, 3.42 ERA) is up for the Nats here and he has been good this year as a reliever, but he has looked shaky in his most recent appearances since he's had to start 6 games in a row now. He has given up 4+ runs in 2/3 of his 3 previous starts and giving up runs has turned into a common theme for him as a starter. I think he is going to give up runs against this hot Braves lineup and I see this being another big win for the Braves with Fried shutting them down for a majority of the game. I like the Braves runline in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 5-1 Braves.