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(CFL) Montreal vs. Ottawa, 07/21/2022 7:00 PM, Score: 40 - 33
Point Spread: 3.00 | -116.00 Ottawa (Home)
Result: Loss
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Redblacks.

I like the Ottawa Redblacks to cover the spread against the Montreal Alouettes in this game on Thursday. The Redblacks are the only team in the CFL at the moment that don't have a win this year yet but I think their time has come here and I expect them to win this game outright and not just cover the spread. This is a home game for them and they have looked pretty good in their 2 games so far but Montreal hasn't been great in road games either and I think Ottawa can finally get a win here since they have actually looked good in a lot of their games. The Redblacks have lost all 5 games this year but only 1 of those losses looked really bad. their most recent loss was a 2 point loss in Hamilton and they also looked really good against the Lions too, losing that home game by 3 points when BC has been killing a lot of teams in their other games. Their 1st 2 games of the year were also very close losses. Both were losses to the defending Grey Cup champions, the Winninpeg Blue Bombers, but they lost the home game by a touchdown in a close 19-12 game, and they lost the road game in Winnipeg by just 2 points 19-17. I think this team has had too many close calls now and they are going to get a win sooner or later with how close they are coming in these games, and I think this is a great spot for them to get that win in a home game against another bad team. Montreal hasn't looked great in their games this year, they do have 1 win but they also have 4 losses. All 4 of their losses have also been in close games just like the Redblacks, but the Alouettes have already lost 2 close road games by 1 point this year, and I think they are going to suffer another loss like that here. I think the Redblacks have a better defense here and I expect that to be the difference in this game. The Alouettes have given up 20+ points in all of their losses this year while the Redblacks are giving up less points and still keeping their games close. I expect their defensive effort to stunt the Alouettes offense and I think the Redblacks will be able to put up a ton of points on the Alouettes defense. I like the Redblacks to cover the spread here.

T.M. Prediction: 28-25 Redblacks.