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(MLB) Philadelphia vs. Pittsburgh, 07/28/2022 7:05 PM, Score: 8 - 7
Point Spread: -1.50 | -112.00 Philadelphia (Away)
Result: Loss
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5.

I like the Philadelphia Phillies runline in this game against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday. The Phillies came out of the All Star break flat but they have turned it around looking a lot better in their games lately. They just won a big series over the Braves which helped them out in the Wild Card race and I think they are going to carry over that momentum into this series against the Pirates. The Pirates haven't looked good in their games lately and I don't expect them to do much here against the Phillies who have been getting hot now. The Phillies offense is starting to get hot now, putting up a ton of runs in their series with the Braves, while the Pirates have been struggling on offense in their games lately. The Pirates haven't put up more than 2 runs in 4/5 of their previous 5 games and I expect their issues on offense to continue here with the Phillies coming into town. Zack Wheeler (8-5, 2.78 ERA) is up for the Phillies here and he has looked great all year, I think he will have a good outing here and I expect him to pitch deep into this game too. He had 1 bad start in the month of July but he has looked great in his other 3 starts, only giving up 1 run combined between those 3 starts and pitching 7 innings in all of those games too. He bounced back in his last outing with a 7 inning performance where he only gave up 1 run, and I expect him to continue that here against a bad offense that has been struggling lately. Zach Thompson (3-7, 4.64 ERA) is up for the Pirates here and this is only his 2nd year in the MLB but he hasn't looked as good this year as he did in his rookie year. He just gave up 7 runs in his most recent start against a bad Marlins offense, and that has been a common theme for him this year since he has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts. The Phillies offense just woke up against the Braves who have been pitching great lately. I expect the Phillies offense to continue getting hot here and I don't see the Pirates doing much here to shut down this lineup. I like the Phillies runline in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 7-1 Phillies.