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(MLB) Arizona vs. Atlanta, 07/30/2022 7:20 PM, Score: 2 - 6
Point Spread: -1.50 | -109.00 Atlanta (Home)
Result: Win
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves -1.5.

I like the Atlanta Braves runline in this game against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday. The Braves have been a bit up and down in their games lately but they have still looked really good and I think they are going to start another big run here to try and catch the Mets once again. They had that lead cut down to 0.5 games at one point last week but they haven't looked great in every game lately, and now the Mets have a 3 game lead over the Braves again for the top of the division. The Braves looked great in their series against the Angels coming out of the All Star break, they slowed down a bit in Philadelphia still winning a game there though, and now they have taken the 1st game of this series with a 5-2 win. All of their wins since coming out of the All Star break have been by 2+ runs and I think this is going to be another win by 2+ runs with the Braves offense still very hot and back at home now. The D-Backs have looked great in their games lately, sweeping the Giants in a home series, but I expect their good play to start fading on the road here and I see this being a nice series for the Braves to try and sweep and close the gap on the Mets in the division. Ian Anderson (8-6, 5.31 ERA) is up for the Braves here and he hasn't looked great for a majority of the year but he has also been pitching a lot better in July, not giving up many runs this month. He had 3 starts in a row where he didn't give up more than 2 starts, but gave up 7 runs in his most recent start against the Angels. He has still looked a lot better in his starts lately and I expect him to bounce back here with a better performance like he has been giving for a majority of July. Corbin Martin (0-0, 3.93 ERA) is up for the Diamondbacks here and he has only made 1 start this year in his most recent appearance. He pitched well in that game only giving up 1 run in 4 innings, but he was facing a terrible Nationals lineup in that game and he has had a few really bad relief appearances this year where he gave up a ton of runs in a short period of time. I think the Braves lineup is going to get after him here with how hot the offense has been lately and I don't see the Diamondbacks doing much damage on the Braves here. I like the Braves runline in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 7-1 Braves.