Total: 8.50 | -106.00 Under
Charlie Morton starts for the Rays here. He was great through the first three innings of his first start of the season. Morton then uncharacteristically ran into trouble in both the 4th and 5th innings. He has been one of the best pitchers in baseball (45-16 last 3 seasons) and will bounce back strong here facing the team that he began his career with. Morton had a 3.08 ERA the last 2 seasons and is known for responding well when off a rough outing. The Rays right-hander had a 1.39 ERA in his 8 starts last season which followed an outing in which he was charged with 4 or more runs. Morton will take advantage of facing a Braves team that is not swinging the bats very well. Atlanta had one big game at the plate so far this season but in the other 4 games (3 losses), the Braves have scored an average of only 3 runs a game. The key to the value with the under here is that the Braves are turning to their staff ace Mike Soroka for this start. He pitched 6 scoreless innings in his opening day start and is coming off a season in which he went 13-4 with a 2.68 ERA. The Rays have very little familiarity with him and like the Braves, have had only one big game at the plate so far this season. Other than one strong game, Tampa Bay's other 4 games have seen them average only 6 hits per game! Soroka versus Morton, per our computer math model, is set up perfect to be a pitchers duel. Bet the UNDER in Atlanta in early evening action Wednesday.