MLB Total Crusher
(MLB) Cleveland vs. Detroit, 09/18/2020 7:10 PM, Score: 1 - 0
Total: 8.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers, Friday at 7:05 PM ET

Chilly weather in Detroit this evening. That is driving this total lower. However, the wind actually will be blowing out to right field as a result of the cooler conditions and we view this as a line value opportunity with the total dropping to an 8.5 even though it may not be a surprise to see both starting pitchers get roughed up here. The Indians start Zach Plesac in this one. He is having a great season but is off a rough road start in which he allowed 3 homers. He has now given up 6 homers in his 26 innings on the road this season. While he has dominated at home this season, Plesac has a tendency to make more mistake pitches on the road and the Tigers are 7-4 in their last 11 home games and scored an average of 6.1 runs per game in those 7 wins. The Tigers start Michael Fulmer here and he is having a very rough season. We expect the Indians to do plenty of damage at the plate in this one. Fulmer is winless in NINE starts this season and has a 9.27 ERA with opponents hitting .378 against him on the year! He has allowed 9 earned runs in 5 innings spanning his last two starts. Fulmer faced the Indians in back to back starts in August and neither went well as he was tattooed for 8 earned runs in less than 6 innings of work. Per our computer math model, more of the same is expected here as Cleveland enters this game 13-7 in their last 20 road games and scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game. In games at Detroit, the Indians have scored an average of 7.8 runs per game in 4 road games. The Tigers bullpen is one of the worst in the majors while the Cleveland bullpen, though great overall this season, has had some struggles over the past week and a half. Bet the OVER in Detroit in early evening action Friday.