ASA 10* MLB IL Total of the Week
(MLB) Miami vs. NY Yankees, 09/27/2020 3:05 PM, Score: 5 - 0
Total: 9.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees, Sunday at 3:05 PM ET

Final day of the regular season and one always has to exercise caution in situations like this in terms of lineups. In this case, there is reason to believe that both lineups will be solid. The Marlins rested some regulars yesterday and, after that 11-4 loss, would like to win today to have positive momentum heading into the playoffs plus to finish the regular season with a winning record. As for the Yankees, they should also be playing all their regulars today as they are still hoping to secure the #5 seed in the post-season. The Yankees rolled to an 11-4 win yesterday and all 11 runs came against the Marlins bullpen. That is bad news for Miami's pitching staff today because Jose Urena (0-3, 6.00 ERA) is only expected to go 2 to 3 innings in this one so the Marlins pen will be exposed again. The Yankees have been knocking the cover off the ball in home games in recent weeks and that continues here. New York will need to score a lot too because Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt is a rookie with a 7.71 ERA at the MLB level. He has already had command issues in his limited MLB action as he has walked 3 and hit a batter for 4 "free passes" in just 2 and 1 / 3 innings. This is a tough spot for Schmidt and the Marlins will take advantage. At the same time, in terms of bullpen usage, you know the Yankees would be wise to save their best arms for the upcoming playoff action. As a result, this one should soar over the total and our computer math model analytics are pointing strongly in that direction for this match-up. Bet the OVER in the Yankees game in afternoon action Sunday.