Point Spread: -3.00 | -110.00 Arkansas State (Home)
This line opened up at a -5.5 in many books and there was even a -6 out there earlier this week. Now the line has dropped to a solid -3 as of Thursday morning and our computer math model forecasts a solid home win here and we won't hesitate to get involved. Georgia State has played only 2 games this season. With Arkansas State having 4 games under their belt the Red Wolves actually hold an edge even though they are on short rest here. In this pandemic-impacted season teams with more practices, more game time, etc. have an edge and that applies to the Red Wolves in this one. Not only that, Arkansas State had won 5 straight meetings before Georgia State won last year's game at home. That was the 2nd straight game in which the home team won by a double digit margin and that is the forecast here per our computer math modeling - Red Wolves by 10+ points! As a home favorite in SBC action, Arkansas State is on a 15-4 ATS run. The Red Wolves are averaging 343 passing yards per game and the Panthers run game (lost some key personnel from last season) won't be able to trade scores with them in this one as they just can't keep up. Lay the points with Arkansas State in what should be a home blowout in evening action Thursday.