ASA 10* NBA Situational Slam
(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Brooklyn,
06/07/2021 7:30 PM, Score: 86 - 125
Total: 235.50 | -112.00
ASA top play on 10* OVER 235.5 Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets, 7:35 PM ET - The Under came through in Game 1 but the pace of play suggest it should have gone Over despite poor shooting by the Bucks. The results of that game have driven this line down so we will side with the value here and Over. These two teams attempted 200 field goals in Game 1 which is drastically higher than league average this season of 187. Milwaukee had a horrible 3-point shooting night in Game 1 by making just 6 of 30 3-point attempts or 20%. The law of averages suggest that was an aberration as the Bucks were the 5th best 3-point shooting team in the NBA this season at 38.9%. Not only that, the Nets 3-point percentage defense was 14th in the league allowing 36.5%. The Nets lost James Harden in Game 1 but it didn’t seem to matter as KD and Kyrie carried the Nets to a solid win in the opener. These two teams are the highest scoring teams in the NBA at 120.1PPG (Bucks) and 118.6PPG (Nets) and this number suggests Vegas is telling us one of these two teams has to get to 120 to win. The math suggests both teams get to 120+ which means we cash the Over bet.