MLB Total of the Week 10*
(MLB) Chi White Sox vs. Baltimore, 07/11/2021 1:05 PM, Score: 7 - 5
Total: 10.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
#915/916 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 10.5 Runs – Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles, Sunday at 1:05 PM ET – The White Sox bats have been red hot in this series but the Orioles bats should fare much better against Dylan Cease then they have against the other starters so far in this series. The White Sox right-hander had a solid start against the Orioles in late May. However, Cease is coming off a rough outing at Minnesota and has a 6.59 ERA in road starts this season. Cease has allowed 5 or more earned runs in 4 of his last 6 road starts. The over is 6-2 in his road starts this season. The White Sox bats should most definitely have another big day today. Chicago will be facing the Orioles Spenser Watkins. The Baltimore right-hander had a successful MLB debut versus the Blue Jays in his last start. However, he had more walks than strikeouts and also had only 8 swings and misses in the game. In other words, Watkins pitched to contact and was quite fortunate in that first start. In 2018, Watkins had a 5.11 ERA in his 5 starts above the single A level of the minors. Since then, at the AAA level, Watkins has a 6.67 ERA and in his last full season at the AAA level (2019), Watkins had a .326 BAA so he has a tendency to be very hittable! The ball is being put in play against Watkins and this White Sox lineup pounded the Orioles for 20 runs in the first two games of this series! O/U was 8-0 run in White Sox games before back to back unders preceded back to back overs in this series. The bats come alive again this afternoon and the Orioles get in on it with the big hits this time too. Plenty of runs are likely in this one given all of the above factors. This total is in the 10.5 range (after opening up at an 11 and we will gladly take the added value) and our computer math model shows this one getting well into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 6 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 13 runs (7-6 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet Over