MLB TOTALS TITAN
(MLB) Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati, 07/17/2021 7:10 PM, Score: 7 - 4
Total: 8.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
#957/958 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 8 Runs – Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET – Brandon Woodruff will be making his 10th road start of the season for the Brewers. Of the first 9 there was one push on the total, zero overs, and 8 unders! Woodruff has a 1.99 ERA and unreal 0.68 WHIP in his road starts this year. This game sets up to be another low-scoring duel with Luis Castillo of the Reds. The Cincinnati right-hander had some rough patches earlier this season but since then he has been lights out. Castillo had a 1.71 ERA in June and held opponents to a .173 batting average. So far in July he has a 2.41 ERA and has held opponents to a .169 batting average. After a very rough May, Castillo has been the strong pitcher we are used to seeing on the mound. Yesterday's high-scoring game and Castillo's ugly full season numbers are part of the reason this total moved to an 8 after opening at 7.5 runs. We are going to take advantage of the added value as these teams had gone under in 6 straight prior to yesterday's rare slugfest between the clubs. Both teams had been trending under all month long before yesterday's unusual result and now look for a strong start from these two hurlers and while the Reds do not have a strong bullpen like the Brewers do, Castillo is fully capable of going 7 innings here. That minimizes the Cincy bullpen usage. Per our computer math model, this game lands around 5 to 6 runs and even if it reaches 7 that is still a winning ticket based on the 8 that is posted at most books as of late morning Saturday. We like the odds being in our favor for a well-pitched affair in this one! Bet the UNDER