MLB 10* GAME OF THE MONTH
(MLB) Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh, 07/27/2021 7:05 PM, Score: 9 - 0
Money Line: -131.00 Milwaukee (Away)
Result: Win
#951 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Milwaukee Brewers -130 over Pittsburgh Pirates, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - The Pirates have lost 5 of 7 games and are 7-18 against left-handed starters and have gone 11-26 in divisional games this season. Pittsburgh also just returned from a West Coast road trip. Both these teams were off yesterday and now today's match-up is a battle of southpaws as the Brewers come to town. Milwaukee is off a loss but had won 5 of 7 games prior to that defeat and the Brewers are 29-18 on the road and 27-17 in divisional games this season. Brett Anderson is 4-1 with a 2.82 ERA in his career against Pittsburgh and he is backed by a solid bullpen. The Brewers bullpen has been the best in baseball recently too. Last 7 days, last 15 days, last 30 days all find the Brewers at the top with the lowest bullpen ERA. The Pirates have been near the very bottom during all those time frames with one of the highest bullpen ERA's in the league. This sets up to be a mismatch in the later innings. Pittsburgh starter Tyler Anderson was solid against Milwaukee early this month but he entered that start 1-4 in his career against the Brewers. In his two starts since that July 4th outing, he has allowed 13 hits in 11 innings. The Pirates won that most recent meeting (July 4th) between these teams but that victory followed 6 straight dominating Brewers wins in this series by an average score of 7 to 3 (combined margin was 44 to 16). Our computer math model reflects a similar result this time and we could not agree more! We will grab the road team with the massive bullpen edge and overall team edges at a very reasonable price on the money line in this one and bet Milwaukee Brewers -130