10* MLB Total of the Week
(MLB) Chi White Sox vs. Minnesota, 08/10/2021 8:10 PM, Score: 3 - 4
Total: 10.00 | -114.00 Over
Result: Loss
#973/974 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 10 Runs – Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins, Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET – Earlier this season the White Sox were pounding lefty starters. Now they have cooled off against southpaws but are crushing the ball in games against right-handed starters and that continued in yesterday's big 11-1 win. Chicago has won 7 of last 8 against right-handed starters and scored an average of 7 runs per game in those contests. Now they face Griffin Jax and this will be the first time this season that the rookie right-hander has made a second start against a team. It also is his first ever home start at the MLB level. Jax has a 7.27 ERA in his 3 long-relief home appearances out of the bullpen this season so this may not go well for him for multiple reasons including the pressure of opening up a game on the mound at Target Field for the first time ever. The White Sox could jump on him early as they stay hot at the plate. They are likely to need the runs here as the Twins should enjoy success against Sox lefty Dallas Keuchel. The Twins have seen only 3 of their last dozen games result in an under. A trio of starters were rested for yesterday's match-up with Lucas Giolito and, predictably, Minnesota faltered at the plate. Those guys should be back tonight and facing a fading Keuchel. He is off a solid home start but it was against a bad Royals team who had just hammered him recently for 3 homers when the teams met in KC. That was followed by a start hosting the Indians in which Keuchel also allowed 3 homers. He has an ERA north of 5.00 since the All Star break and has a history of being much more hittable on the road and that trend has resumed this season. The White Sox bullpen has been respectable this season but likely will be expected to do too much here if Keuchel struggles as expected. The Twins bullpen has been one of the weaker ones in MLB this season. This total is in the 10 range and our computer math model shows this one getting into a range of about a dozen runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 6 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 13 runs (7-6 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet the Over