ASA Free Play Monday NFL
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. Baltimore, 10/11/2021 8:15 PM, Score: 25 - 31
Point Spread: -7.00 | -108.00 Baltimore (Home)
Result: Loss
ASA Free Pick NFL Monday: BALTIMORE RAVENS -4 (1st half) over Indianapolis Colts - While we won't get involved in the game just yet, we do like the Ravens in the first half of this game. Scheduling favors the Ravens who catch the Colts playing their 3rd straight road game which will lead to a lethargic start by Indy. Not to mention, the Colts have been slow starters this season and are averaging just 8PPG in the first half of games this season. Baltimore jumped out to a 17-7 halftime lead last week in Denver, they were also up 10-0 at half versus Detroit the game before. In the first two games of the season they put up 17-points in the 1st half versus the Chiefs but trailed, and in the season opener they were up 14-10 over Las Vegas. The Ravens biggest advantage is their running game which is 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (165), 5th rushing attempts per game and average 5.2 yards per rush attempt. Indy is averaging just 20PPG overall which is 21st in the NFL and they score 1-point for every 15.7-yards gained which ranks them 16th. The Colts offense has lacked big plays and are currently below average at 5.0-Yards Per Play which is 24th. The Indianapolis defense has some respectable overall numbers ranking 8th in total yards allowed per game and 9th in passing YPG, BUT they have not stopped the run allowing 114YPG which ranks them 15th. The Ravens defense is top 10 in lowest red zone TD’s allowed, 13th in yards per point allowed and 11th in points per game allowed at 23. After facing two of the best offenses in the NFL in Weeks 1 and 2 (Raiders-chiefs) the Ravens have held 2 similar offenses to the Colts to 17 and 7-points. Going back to the end of last season the Ravens have outscored their last 11 opponents 172-81 in the first halves of games for an average of +8.2PPG. The play here is Baltimore in the first half -4.