(NFL) Tampa Bay vs. Indianapolis, 11/28/2021 1:00 PM, Score: 38 - 31
Point Spread: 3.50 | -110.00 Indianapolis (Home)
Result: Loss
ASA play on 8* Indianapolis Colts +3.5 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 PM ET - Indy is quietly putting together a solid late season surge with a 5-1 SU record their last six games, 3 straight wins. The lone loss in that stretch came in OT against the 8-3 Titans. In that stretch of games, other than the win against Buffalo last week, the wins have come against Jacksonville, the Jets, San Francisco and Houston. Granted, those last 4 teams have a 11-29 SU record, but a win is a win in the NFL. Last week Colts RB Jonathan Taylor had a huge game against the Bills with 185-rushing yards and 4 TD’s and those numbers came against a Buffalo defense that was #1 defensive DVOA. The Colts average 5.2-Yards Per Rush which is tops in the NFL with Cleveland. When we look at raw efficiency numbers, we find these two teams are very close. The Colts defensive DVOA is 9th, Tampa Bay is 7th. Indianapolis is 11th in offensive DVOA, Tampa Bay is 1st. The Bucs have been favored in their last five road games and have yet to cover and have lost 3 of those games outright. The Colts are on a 4-0 ATS streak as a dog.