ASA Free Play Sunday NFL
(NFL) LA Chargers vs. Houston, 10/02/2022 1:00 PM, Score: 34 - 24
Point Spread: 6.00 | -110.00 Houston (Home)
Result: Loss
#260 ASA FREE PLAY ON Houston Texans +6 over LA Chargers, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Chargers are simply too banged up to be laying this number on the road. QB Herbert will most likely play but he’s nowhere near 100%. His ribs are in bad shape and he’s playing in a lot of pain. Last week in their home loss vs the Jags, Herbert has his lowest QBR since the start of last year and he averaged only 6.6 yards per pass attempt. He did practice on Thursday but sat out the early portion of the week. We like this spot even if he does play but we wouldn’t completely rule out the Chargers sitting him this week to try and get him healthy moving forward. His top WR Allen is out this weekend along with another starting WR Guyton. Two starting OLinemen are out and DE Bosa will sit as well. This is a mash unit right now. Houston isn’t great by any means but they’ve shown some fight this year to say the least. They tied Indy to start the season and hung tough @ Denver losing by 7 in week 2. Last week they lost @ Chicago by a FG when Houston QB Mills threw an interception at his own 26 yard line in a tie game with about 1:00 minute to go. That led to the Bears game winning FG. LAC can’t run ranking last in YPG on the ground at 59 and last in YPC at 2.6. They rely very heavily on an injured Herbert making plays to now back up WR’s. Houston’s defense has been solid vs the pass this year allowing opposing QB’s just a 55% completion rate (2nd best in the NFL) and just 207 YPG through the air (11th best). The Texans improved at the end of last year and covered 3 of their last 4 games and this year they are 2-0-1 ATS. We feel they are a dangerous home dog in this spot and getting nearly a TD with the LAC situation is too much.