Thursday Smash NFL 8*
(NFL) Dallas vs. Tennessee, 12/29/2022 8:15 PM, Score: 27 - 13
Total: 39.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
#101/102 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 39.5 Points – Dallas Cowboys vs Tennessee Titans, Thursday at 8:15 PM ET - This total opened 43.5 or 44 and has dropped all the way to 39.5 currently (as of Wednesday afternoon). We understand that Tennessee really has nothing to play for with an all or nothing game next week vs Jacksonville for the AFC South title. The Titans have struggled offensively as of late but with the total set this low, we shouldn’t need all that much from them with the way the Dallas offense has been playing. The Cowboys have gone over the total in 5 straight games and have averaged 36 PPG by themselves over their last 9 games. Titan QB Willis received his first extended action in awhile last week vs Houston last week and should be more comfortable with a week under his belt. Tennessee is facing a Dallas defense that has been declining over the last few months allowing at least 20 points in 6 of their last 8 games. That includes allowing 19 points to Indy (28th ranked offense), 23 vs Houston (32nd ranked offense) and 29 vs Chicago (26th ranked offense). Again, we shouldn’t need much here from Tennessee and if they get to those type of numbers, this will go Over easily. The weather looks good on Thursday night in Nashville with temps in the mid 50’s and light winds at kickoff. We like this one to get into at least the 40’s so we’ll grab the Over.