Total Smash MLB 8*
(MLB) Arizona vs. Colorado, 04/29/2023 8:10 PM, Score: 11 - 4
Total: 12.50 | 100.00 Over
Result: Win
#959/960 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 12.5 Runs – Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies, Saturday at 8:10 PM ET - The starting pitcher for Arizona has struggled in his only start this season and though his counterpart has impressive numbers in his limited action, this one is set up perfect for him to get hammered. Expected starters are Tommy Henry for the Diamondbacks and Noah Davis for the Rockies. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the bullpens help the cause. The Diamondbacks bullpen and the Rockies bullpen are each in the lower third of the majors for bullpen ERA so far this season. The weather will be mild in Denver this evening and the ball should be carrying very well in the thin air as per usual. The big total might seem a little scary but set-ups don't get much better than this. Noah Davis has only appeared in 3 MLB games, all for the Rockies, but never at Coors Field. This start is highly unlikely to go well here. Rookie pitchers are known for struggling in their first-ever starts here. Also, Davis had some ugly numbers in the minors once he got above the single-A level. We think this is where the wheels come off for him now after having decent (but not great) outings in his first two appearances this season. His only appearance last season was in October and only lasted 1 inning and was not good. Now his first ever start at Coors Field. As for Henry, the Diamondbacks left-hander has a 5.44 ERA in his 10 career starts. One of those was at Coors Field last season and he managed to limit the damage but was fortunate it was not worse in that start in which he allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings. Arizona has scored 7.5 runs per game in their last 6 games at Coors Field and hammered out a 9-1 win yesterday. Before being held to 1 run yesterday, the Rockies averaged 5 runs per game in their 9 home games dating back to early this month. 6 of those 9 games totaled at least 13 runs and our computer math model has indicators that show likelihood of this one getting to at least 13 runs as well! Over is the call in this one Saturday night.