Total of the Month MLB 10*
(MLB) NY Yankees vs. Seattle,
05/31/2023 9:40 PM, Score: 0 - 1
Total: 7.50 | -108.00
#969/970 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 7.5 Runs – New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners, Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over in this one. This total dropped from an 8 to a 7.5 in a number of books in early market activity which is giving us extra value. We get a lower total here because of George Kirby's long-term numbers and the fact these are two solid bullpens but one must also look at what these clubs, particularly the Yankees, have been doing offensively of late. The key here is all the value these market perceptions have led to. The Yankees are red hot at the plate and have scored exactly 10 runs in 3 straight games. Also, New York's road games have seen them score an average of 6.1 runs last 10 games and they have won 6 straight and 8 of last 9 when away from home. The Yankees are hot and Kirby enters this one off a very rough home start in which he allowed 4 homers! New York has really been slugging the ball so don't be surprised if Kirby struggles again. He also was hit harder at home last year just as has been the case this season. As for Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt, his ERA and batting average against numbers have both been worse when on the road compared to at home. Schmidt enters this one with a 5.58 ERA on the season and opponents hitting .301 against him. The Mariners, prior to being held to 2 runs in yesterday's loss, had scored an average of 5 runs per game in their last 9 games. Our computer math model shows a range of 9 to 10 as the most likely occurrence with the final run tally here and many simulations show a final run tally in the 11 to 12 range. Over is the call in this one Wednesday night.